When will we know more about B.C.’s tight provincial election?

The full results of the 2024 provincial election in B.C. may not be known for up to a week, as officials tally a number of close races and the B.C. NDP and B.C. Conservatives are in a dead heat.

As of 8 a.m. PT on Saturday, the NDP were leading or elected in 46 seats, the Conservatives in 45 seats and the B.C. Greens were elected in two seats. In the B.C. Legislature, 47 seats are required to form a majority government.

However, based on preliminary results, CBC News has not projected the winners of 11 ridings — with the NDP leading in six of those, and the Conservatives in five.

Some of those ridings are likely to be subject to an automatic recount — in any ridings where the margin of victory is 100 votes or less.

The winners of those recounts will be determined during the final counting period between Oct. 26 and 28, according to Elections B.C.

In addition, Elections B.C. says that it  will tally mail-in ballots and out-of-district votes in a number of ridings. As of midnight PT on Sunday, officials said that less than 0.3 per cent of preliminary results remained to be reported.

“Sixteen districts are continuing to count out-of-district ballots. These ballots take longer to count for several reasons,” wrote an Elections B.C. spokesperson in a midnight statement. 

“With B.C.’s vote anywhere model, some districts are reporting out-of-district results from dozens of other contests. Write-in ballots also take longer to count than ordinary ballots.”

A sign points right and says 'Voting Place' as people pass by on a sunny day.
Voters are pictured at a voting place in the riding of Vancouver-Quilchena on the last day of advance voting in Vancouver on Oct. 16. The full results of the B.C. election may not be known for a week. (Ben Nelms/CBC)

Officials said “election official availability and weather-related disruptions” delayed some preliminary results.

Elections B.C. is set to continue counting votes on Sunday morning, and CBC News will update this story if it is able to project a winner.

Echoes of 2017 election

The NDP’s Adrian Dix, incumbent health minister and the winner of the Vancouver-Renfrew riding, said that Saturday’s election mirrored the 2017 election — which eventually saw the NDP form a minority government through a confidence and supply agreement with the Greens.

The results of that election were not known for a few days afterwards, but Dix cautioned that counting would still take place on Sunday morning.

“This is an extremely close election. The elections in B.C., really all my lifetime, have been four per cent either way — and this was no exception,” he told the CBC’s Rosemary Barton.

A white man with glasses is pictured from below.
NDP candidate Adrian Dix won his riding of Vancouver-Renfrew again — but he acknowledged the party lost a number of seats south of the Fraser River. (Ben Nelms/CBC)

Dix said that the NDP’s preliminary popular vote share, at 44.5 per cent, was the third-highest in the party’s nearly century-long history.

“When you look at the NDP and the Green votes, there is a significant progressive majority in the province,” he said.

“But all of that said, it is very very disappointing of course when you lose such outstanding colleagues.”

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Posted in CBC